NFL Week 10 is in the books, and we are in the latter part of the 2023 NFL season! There are a few great data points for the season and historically for NFL Referees. Nonetheless, we are on to NFL Week 11, and there are plenty of referee trends to discuss for the NFL Week 11 Referee Report!
I always put this out as a disclaimer: the NFL Referee Report is not something that you should bet blindly on. Instead, it should be an extra data point in your handicapping. Let’s dive into the NFL Week 11 Referee Report.
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NFL Week 11 Referee Report: Betting Stats and Trends
Shawn Smith
Shawn Smith is assigned to officiate last year’s Super Bowl rematch between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs. That’s good news for Eagles bettors and fans. Thus far this year, the road team is 7-1 (87.5%) SU and 5-2-1 (68.8%) ATS in games officiated by Shawn Smith.
Further, in his career, Smith has officiated three games involving the Eagles. The Eagles are 3-0 ATS in those games. On the other side, the Chiefs are just 1-3 ATS in games officiated by Smith.
Best Bet: Eagles +3 (Wait For This To Get To +3)
Brad Rogers
Thus far this season, home teams have fared well in games officiated by Brad Rogers. In fact, this season, home teams are 7-2 SU and 7-2 ATS. Further, home teams are 5-1 ATS. Last week, I mentioned underdogs are doing well in games officiated by Rogers.
However, last week, Rogers was the lead referee in one of the biggest spreads of the season of 17 points in favor of the Dallas Cowboys over the New York Giants. In NFL Week 11, Brad Rogers is assigned to officiate the AFC South battle between the Titans and the Jaguars.
Best Bet: Jaguars -7
John Hussey
Over the last two seasons, John Hussey has been favorable to the home teams. In fact, this season, home teams are 5-3 SU and 5-2-1 ATS. Further, over the last two seasons, home underdogs are 5-1 ATS. In Week 11, Hussey is assigned to officiate the Los Angeles Chargers visiting the Green Bay Packers.
Best Bet: Packers +3
