Everybody loves an underdog story. Nothing is better than bragging to the entire bar about the plus-money bet you just cashed. Predicting a college football upset can give you a high that makes you feel like you’re standing on the mountaintop. You can bet these Week 10 College Football upsets against the spread, as single moneyline plays, or as a parlay, and you could be the Tailgate Hero. Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast Network Animal Shelter. Let’s find you a dog.
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Week 12 College Football Upsets: Moneyline Parlay
+11275 The College Football Experience Parlay
We here at the Sports Gambling Podcast Network love large odds. Some people say parlay betting is dumb, but when you treat a moneyline underdog parlay like a lottery ticket, it’s not. Let me explain. Many folks are avid lotto players. For example, Mega Millions and Powerball. The odds of winning the Powerball jackpot is 1 in 292.2 million, and even lower for Mega Millions at 1 in 302.6 million.
The notorious slogan is, “risk a little to win a lot.” What if I told you that you could place your $2 lotto entry fee on a measured college football moneyline underdog parlay where you can select your winning numbers based on analysis instead of a machine randomly doing it for you? This week’s college football upset picks would pay out $225.50 on Bet365 Sportsbook.
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There are 15 slates of college football. If you were to place just one $2 college football parlay each week, that’s a $30 dollar bet total. With just one correct +11275 The College Football Experience Parlay, that’s $197.50 of profit, $423 if two hit, $648.50 for three, etc.
Are you feeling more frisky? Those profit amounts increase incrementally with just a few extra dollars on each moneyline underdog parlay. Lastly, in case you weren’t already sold, I can promise you that watching Iowa State, Arkansas State, and Arizona State play college football is more entertaining than 40 seconds of ping-pong balls.
College Football Picks Record (All 1 Unit Bets)
Every ML Dog Pick: 11-25 (-1.8 units)
Dundee’s Dogs: 5-7 (+5.6 units)
Noah’s Dogs: 6-17 (-5.2 units)
Dundee’s Dog: Iowa State Moneyline +240
(-7.5) Texas at Iowa State (O/U 46.5)
Each week, I will write up Pick Dundee, aka Colby Dant’s favorite college football upset prediction. Dant is the host of the Sports Gambling Podcast Network’s CFB podcast, “The College Football Experience.” Dundee also loves a good college football parlay and is well known for his success betting moneyline dogs. His favorite Week 12 plus-money-play is Iowa State to knock off Texas.
Dant believes that Ames, Iowa, is one of the toughest places in all of college football to go in a get a win. If Texas wants to keep their College Football Playoff hopes alive, they will have to do it without their starting running back, Jonathan Brooks, and their quarterback, Quinn Ewers, is not 100% after a shoulder injury this season. The Longhorns have dodged bullets with two 3-point victories in back-to-back weeks. Opposing Big 12 teams continue to give Texas their best shot during the Burnt Orange’s final season in the conference.
Head Coach Matt Campbell’s Cyclones have a two-game winning streak over Texas in Ames. Iowa State has also won three of the last four at Jack Trice Stadium. The second half of this season has been an outstanding coaching job from Campbell. The Cyclones started the season 2-3, including a loss to the MAC’s Ohio. Iowa State is 4-1 in their last five games, and the ISU faithful hope to give Texas a harsh farewell from the conference Saturday night.
Dog #2: Arkansas State Moneyline +150
(-3.5) Texas State at Arkansas State (O/U 59.5)
Head Coach Butch Jones’ Arkansas State squad currently sits 5-5 on the season. With just one more win this season, the Red Wolves lock in a bowl game appearance. There may not be a better time than now for that 6th win because this is Arkansas State’s final home game of the season.
Something fishy is going on at Texas State’s QB position group. The full season’s starter, TJ Finley, sat out during the 2nd half against Coastal Carolina. Finley’s backup, Malik Hornsby, only managed to throw for 32 total yards in a negative game script. There has been an injury history for Finley in his career that should worry Bobcats bettors. In fact, for an Air Raid offensive system, Head Coach GJ Kinne’s offense only attempted 18 passes. The Bobcats’ rush offense only averages 4.4 yards per carry (56th in the nation). Without TJ Finley, there are serious questions surrounding Texas State’s offense.
Arkansas State started the season 0-2, scoring a combined three points in the two games. Coach Jones switched QBs to Freshman Jaylen Raynor and have since gone 5-3, averaging 29 points per game. The Red Wolves will be motivated to clinch a bowl game appearance Saturday afternoon.
Dog #3: Arizona State Moneyline +1200
(-24.5) Oregon at Arizona State (O/U 53.5)
Arizona State has embraced the role of spoiler in the Pac-12 lately. After the bye week, Head Coach Kenny Dillingham’s ASU program has a pulse. They have defeated Washington State and UCLA in the span of the last three weeks. Now the Sun Devils have a chance to ruin Oregon’s College Football Playoff chances. The Ducks have lost to Arizona State in each of their last two trips to Tempe.
Oregon is in a look-ahead spot as their in-state rival, Oregon State, is on deck for the Civil War. With the momentum that Arizona State’s program has right now, it wouldn’t be surprising if they covered against the Ducks. Can the stars align for the outright win? I think there’s a chance.
The College Football Experience
For more analysis and entertainment on these games, make sure you turn into The College Football Experience. Colby Dant, PattyC, and NC Nick talk about each FBS game and mix in some FCS games, giving out moneyline and ATS college football picks every Wednesday!
