Some people like to sweat out a bet for 9 hard innings – others like immediate satisfaction. Count us as being in the latter, which is why we like to get down with MLB NRFI and YRFI picks. And we’ve decided to pass that knowledge on to you with our NRFI bets for April 21. Go here for MLB World Series odds.
Of course, there are plenty out there taking blind guesses at this stuff. It’s easy to pick the best hitting team or look at what happened in the last game. However, we spent the time pouring through the analytics to make sure that we give you the best odds to stay in the green on these NRFI and YRFI props for April 21. Come check out what we have cooked up for this slate of games.
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MLB NRFI and YRFI Picks – April 21
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
First Pitch – 1:40 pm EST
Great American Ball Park – Cincinnati, Ohio
Broadcast – MLB TV
I went with this game on Saturday and it backfired royally. The Angels put up a pair in the top of the first and the Reds scored five in the bottom half. Those five runs for the Reds were two and a half times what they had on the season so far (19 games). I can’t imagine them doing that in back to back games here.
So on one side we have a fade of an offense that just unrealistically busted out of a slump. On the other side, we have faith in the starting pitcher to stifle things early. Frankie Montas had a minor issue with control last time out. Prior to that game with the Mariners, Montas had been solid – particularly early in the game. Given that, let’s rebound from the outburst last time and get us another NRFI.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for April 21: No (+100)
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves
First Pitch – 7:00 pm EST
Truist Park – Atlanta, Georgia
Broadcast – ESPN
I know these two teams are usually big run scorers, but hear me out as to why I like the NRFI here.
The Rangers have scored in three of their last four first innings. However, if you look at those games, they were either aided by an early home run or some walks. Unfortunate for them in this game, they draw Braves prospect Dairus Vines. While Vines might not be their best arm, he is wildly accurate (2.25% walk rate in AAA last year) and has a low home run rate. As a result, I think he might just be the krytonite for the Rangers.
On the other side, the Braves offense has been solid, but they’ve been sparking a lot of their run scoring with the bottom of their order. Additionally, they’ll face Michael Lorenzen, who looked outstanding last time out in his season debut. He held the Tigers scoreless over five innings in that start.
When you put all of this together, and add in that we’re looking at an NRFI with plus-money odds, it’s a tempting play.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for April 21: No (+105)
If you’d like even more info to help make your NRFI picks for April 21, check out the MLB Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar with their MLB picks today.
