The UFL is entering its seventh week, and the opportunity to make money on it is still available. This week, we’ll be looking to see if the Stallions can keep rolling and remain undefeated against the Battlehawks. Have the Defenders finally turned their season around? Will Arlington get its first win yet? Let’s take a look at the UFL Week 7 picks, predictions, and best bets.
Just to add to the fun, we’re going to start a running bank total of fake money. Each week, there will be $10,000 in bets. Because who doesn’t have $10,000 lying around to bet on the UFL? I’m not telling you to bet $10K. I’m just showing you how I would split the unit on these games. We went 3-2 last week. Let’s keep it rolling!
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UFL Week 7 Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets
Memphis Showboats @ Arlington Renegades (-3.5), Total: 45
The Showboats limp into Arlington with a 1-5 record, just one game better than the 0-6 Renegades. By record, they have one more win. However, they are worse in almost every statistical category.
The Renegades score 19.2 points per game, average 216.5 passing yards, and rush for 77.2 yards per game. Meanwhile, the Showboats score 17.7 points per game, average 164.3 passing yards, and rush for 55.3 yards per game.
The Renegades’ defense is also better in most categories, holding opponents to 25 points per game, opponents passing yards to 192.3 yards per game, and 118.7 rushing yards per game. The Showboats are allowing 28.2 points per game, 244.8 passing yards per game, and 95 rushing yards.
Arlington is going to get its first win of the season. The only question is if they can cover the spread. The Showboats’ offensive line is terrible. They’ve swapped back and forth from Case Cookus and Troy Williams but the results haven’t been much different.
This game will be a Luis Perez prove-it game. He was the quarterback on the Championship team last year, and this has been a disappointing season.
UFL Week 7 Best Bet: Renegades cover (-3.5) $1,500
St. Louis Battlehawks @ Birmingham Stallions (-4), Total: 47.5
To say this is the game of the week is an undersell. It’s the game of the year. Two of the top offenses in the league. Two of the top defenses in the league. First in the USFL vs. first in the XFL divisions. A.J. McCarron’s return to Alabama, where he hasn’t played since his last college game. There are so many story lines that could be followed with this one.
The Battlehawks have a prolific passing attack and Birmingham can be susceptible to the pass. The Stallions have, hands down, the best run game in the league, especially if Martinez is at quarterback. The Battlehawks are allowing 86.8 rush yards per game to opponents.
A lot of this game will come down to who starts at quarterback for the Stallions. These two teams are the favorite to face off in the Championship game. If I’m Skip Holtz, I’m throwing Matt Corral out on the field so that the Battlehawks don’t get a feel for Adrian Martinez’s rhythm. Martinez is the better quarterback, and they will need him in the championship.
A.J. McCarron has been great this year, just as he was last year. However, last year, in big games, they seemed to fall short. I see more of the same here. These are two really good teams, but the Stallions are just better. This is one of the harder games to predict for the UFL Week 7, but I think the Stallions will continue rolling.
UFL Week 7 Best Bet: Stallions (-4), $2,000
Michigan Panthers @ DC Defenders (-1) Total 43
DC won a grind-it-out game against the Brahmas last week, and now they’ll face the 4-2 Panthers. The Panthers just squeaked by Arlington last week with a game-winning field goal that gave them a one-point win. Etling looked good in his first start, but he hasn’t been as on lately. Will Bryce Perkins get a shot to see the field?
The Defenders’ quarterback, Jordan Ta’amu, has been up and down all year. He’s thrown for close to 50% in every game. Last week, he was 14/22 for 179 yards and a touchdown. Not exactly something to write home about. Certainly not the numbers you’d expect to see out of somebody who has been heralded as one of the best in spring football by spring football fanatics.
The Panthers’ defense has been good all year and will provide challenges for DC. However, they’re going to miss linebacker Frank Ginda, who is out for the season after suffering an injury last week. Can the defense continue to play at a high level, or are they starting to slow down a little?
I still think the Panthers will make the playoffs and face off against the USFL division powerhouse, the Stallions. However, I think DC is trending in the right direction. They opened up as underdogs and are now one-point favorites. That likely means everybody is betting on DC, which gives me some pause. However, I can’t help but jump on the line as well.
UFL Week 7 Best Bet: Defenders-1 $3,000
San Antonio Brahmas (-3) @ Houston Roughnecks, Total: 40
The 4-2 Brahmas hit the road, albeit a short road trip, to Houston to face off against the Roughnecks. The Roughnecks are 1-5 and arguably the worst-coached team in the league. Meanwhile, the Brahmas are well-coached but haven’t looked like a 4-2 team at times.
I was all ready to jump on the Roughnecks to upset the Brahmas. That was until I got some information from the H-Town Pick ‘Em guys. They had a Brahmas’ guest on, who gave some really interesting information. Here’s the cliff notes version. Hines Ward left San Antonio because he wouldn’t take a pay cut.
Wade Phillips still lives in Houston, yet they decided to ship him off to San Antonio rather than keep him with Houston. He said on his radio show that he and the players felt like they had been fired from Houston. With no connection to Houston, it would have made more sense to move Curtis Johnson, the Roughnecks’ current coach, to San Antonio and keep Wade in Houston.
This insider information has me feeling the Brahmas will be ready to roll on Sunday. Ready to show the current Roughnecks who the better Texas team is. Ready to show the league why they made a mistake. Although I wanted to think the Roughnecks defense was going to pull it together, and if not for some costly fumbles they were in the game against St. Louis, I am taking Brahmas.
UFL Week 7 Best Bet: Over $2,000; Brahmas (-3), $1,500
